Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.1 – 107.44

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.5 ±17.2

10692GOLDEN APPLE

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 11.94Rank 38Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10542EAGLE WARRIORS

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 11.15Rank 39Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX 21.01Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.5 ±18.1

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 65.08Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7439Qubit Robotics

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 24.89Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 17.47Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10692, 10542, 8158

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10692, 10542, 8158

Auto

10.1 23%

Teleop

19.4 43%

Endgame

15.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10951, 7439, 7298

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10951, 7439, 7298

Auto

19.9 23%

Teleop

40.3 47%

Endgame

25.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score44.1pts

Blue projected score107.4pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.3
Score range: 20–131
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 135 vs event baseline 135.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.5Season APEX215.5

10.1Auto19.9

19.4Teleop40.3

15.3Endgame25.2

40Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	22
teleop	12	49
endgame	20	17
foul	5	0
total	47	88

Result

Final score

47 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.