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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.7210.74

93%7%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

26654

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.5 ±16.9
Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 225.1Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -11.86Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 20.3Event APEX 6.48Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 100.6 ±19.4
Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 16.22Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
10906Lunea Lumen
Provisional
Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -20.18Rank 40Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 14.7Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10131, 11371, 8092
77
/ 100 compat
Projected
219.7 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 10131, 11371, 8092
Auto
21.2 10%
Teleop
134.9 63%
Endgame
58.4 27%
Strengths
  • · 10131 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10234, 10906, 11303
3
/ 100 compat
Projected
10.7 pts
~0.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 10234, 10906, 11303
Auto
3.2 20%
Teleop
-1.2 0%
Endgame
14.3 88%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score219.7pts
Blue projected score10.7pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 14%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
209
Score range
-13244
Upset likelihood
7%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 132.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.5Season APEX100.6
21.2Auto3.2
134.9Teleop-1.2
58.4Endgame14.3
68Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2615
teleop18714
endgame485
foul520
total26654

Result

Final score

26654

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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