Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 0
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
78 – 25
Prediction missed · off by 51.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 149.7 ±21.4
8784HEVSEL
Provisional
Season APEX 18.8Event APEX -11.84Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -9.59Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76
6415Gultepe Robotics Team 6415
Provisional
Season APEX 67.3Event APEX -26.7Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.8 ±15.2
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -21.87Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 22.3Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX -27.05Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8784, 7439, 6415
4
/ 100 compatProjected
-48.1 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 8784, 7439, 6415
Auto
-4.1 8%
Teleop
-46.6 96%
Endgame
2.2 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11371, 6232, 11382
10
/ 100 compatProjected
-26.6 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 11371, 6232, 11382
Auto
3.1 0%
Teleop
-28.9 74%
Endgame
-13.4 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-48.1pts
Blue projected score-26.6pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 13%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- -24–24
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
149.7Season APEX128.8
-4.1Auto3.1
-46.6Teleop-28.9
2.2Endgame-13.4
128Consistency104
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 7 |
| teleop | 2 | 3 |
| endgame | 0 | 0 |
| foul | 60 | 15 |
| total | 78 | 25 |
Result
Final score
78 – 25
Prediction missed · off by 51.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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