Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.66 – 300.02

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.1 ±19.4

7035MEF Thunders

Provisional

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 34.98Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 62.84Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8264ATA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX -13.16Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.9 ±12.2

9024Callister

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 33.99Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 223.88Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 42.15Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7035, 10951, 8264

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7035, 10951, 8264

Auto

4.6 5%

Teleop

48.6 58%

Endgame

30.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9024, 10131, 10604

/ 100 compat

Projected

300 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9024, 10131, 10604

Auto

29.3 10%

Teleop

190.2 67%

Endgame

65.2 23%

Strengths

· 10131 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score84.7pts

Blue projected score300pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -215.4
Score range: 61–324
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 131.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.1Season APEX458.9

4.6Auto29.3

48.6Teleop190.2

30.9Endgame65.2

0Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	18
teleop	64	195
endgame	12	115
foul	10	5
total	108	333

Result

Final score

108 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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