Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.98 – 362.75

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.8 ±22

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 0.84Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10692GOLDEN APPLE

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 23.12Rank 38Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9264HUNTERS ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 26.1Event APEX 14.02Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.7 ±12.8

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 274.61Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7576FMWill

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 23Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 65.14Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10623, 10692, 9264

/ 100 compat

Projected

38 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10623, 10692, 9264

Auto

2.8 7%

Teleop

43.5 100%

Endgame

-6.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6459, 7576, 7748

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6459, 7576, 7748

Auto

43.9 13%

Teleop

210.5 60%

Endgame

94.6 27%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score38pts

Blue projected score362.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -324.8
Score range: 15–386
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 130.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.8Season APEX462.7

2.8Auto43.9

43.5Teleop210.5

-6.2Endgame94.6

22Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	49
teleop	17	235
endgame	7	84
foul	5	15
total	33	383

Result

Final score

33 – 383

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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