Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

330.85 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

603 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 158.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.6 ±16.7

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -4.63Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 295.45Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7536ANKA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 40.03Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 101.8 ±18.4

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 5.19Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7439Qubit Robotics

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -16.4Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8092Greatest of All Times

Provisional

Season APEX 20.3Event APEX -0.74Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7298, 9483, 7536

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7298, 9483, 7536

Auto

44.5 13%

Teleop

201.1 61%

Endgame

84.1 26%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6232, 7439, 8092

/ 100 compat

Projected

-11.9 pts

~0.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 7439, 8092

Auto

-5.6 38%

Teleop

-11.7 79%

Endgame

2.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score330.9pts

Blue projected score-11.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 330.9
Score range: -22–353
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 647 vs event baseline 123.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.6Season APEX101.8

44.5Auto-5.6

201.1Teleop-11.7

84.1Endgame2.5

70Consistency154

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	10
teleop	334	17
endgame	119	7
foul	60	10
total	603	44

Result

Final score

603 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 158.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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