Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.17 – 176.48

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 119.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.4 ±19.4

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -10.89Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 133.2Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10234TEDRA

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 8.86Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.5 ±15.6

9264HUNTERS ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 26.1Event APEX -51.14Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 234.8Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10542EAGLE WARRIORS

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX -7.18Rank 39Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10623, 10932, 10234

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10623, 10932, 10234

Auto

11.4 8%

Teleop

98.3 67%

Endgame

37.9 26%

Strengths

· 10932 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9264, 6459, 10542

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9264, 6459, 10542

Auto

33.4 20%

Teleop

113.4 66%

Endgame

24.3 14%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score131.2pts

Blue projected score176.5pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.3
Score range: 109–198
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 455 vs event baseline 123.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.4Season APEX406.5

11.4Auto33.4

98.3Teleop113.4

37.9Endgame24.3

76Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	42
teleop	26	232
endgame	38	96
foul	5	0
total	85	370

Result

Final score

85 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 119.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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