Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.02 – 95.91

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

21 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 136 ±20.3

11382INTERHERMES

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX -46.21Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8092Greatest of All Times

Provisional

Season APEX 20.3Event APEX 19.08Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9694TUBITECH

Provisional

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 80.15Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.5 ±12.2

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX -1.28Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 74.23Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 22.96Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11382, 8092, 9694

/ 100 compat

Projected

53 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11382, 8092, 9694

Auto

28.2 89%

Teleop

18.4 58%

Endgame

-14.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9545, 7748, 10604

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9545, 7748, 10604

Auto

5.6 7%

Teleop

57.4 71%

Endgame

17.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53pts

Blue projected score95.9pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.9
Score range: 30–119
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 126.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

136Season APEX401.5

28.2Auto5.6

18.4Teleop57.4

-14.8Endgame17.7

127Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	24
teleop	6	70
endgame	4	19
foul	0	5
total	21	118

Result

Final score

21 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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