Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

8.54234.98

6%94%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38312

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 4.86Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 2.69Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 0.99Rank 39Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.3 ±16.9
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -37.11Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
7035MEF Thunders
Provisional
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 40.8Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 231.29Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9043, 6232, 10542
10
/ 100 compat
Projected
8.5 pts
~0.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 9043, 6232, 10542
Auto
4.1 0%
Teleop
-6.9 100%
Endgame
-1.0 26%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11371, 7035, 6459
86
/ 100 compat
Projected
235 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 11371, 7035, 6459
Auto
25.6 11%
Teleop
139.6 61%
Endgame
62.4 27%
Strengths
  • · 6459 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.35 · Blue 2.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score8.5pts
Blue projected score235pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-226.4
Score range
-13257
Upset likelihood
6%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 120.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.3Season APEX433.3
4.1Auto25.6
-6.9Teleop139.6
-1Endgame62.4
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1444
teleop19191
endgame577
foul00
total38312

Result

Final score

38312

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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