Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.51 – 123.92

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 52.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.2 ±19.4

8784HEVSEL

Provisional

Season APEX 18.8Event APEX 8.2Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9264HUNTERS ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 26.1Event APEX -13.72Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 21.03Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.1 ±20.2

11303BEZOAR ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 18.56Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9694TUBITECH

Provisional

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 110.26Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7439Qubit Robotics

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -4.9Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8784, 9264, 10951

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8784, 9264, 10951

Auto

9.3 60%

Teleop

-9.9 0%

Endgame

16.0 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11303, 9694, 7439

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11303, 9694, 7439

Auto

18.2 16%

Teleop

66.8 59%

Endgame

27.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score15.5pts

Blue projected score123.9pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.4
Score range: -8–148
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 86 vs event baseline 133.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.2Season APEX162.1

9.3Auto18.2

-9.9Teleop66.8

16Endgame27.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	16
teleop	27	18
endgame	3	1
foul	0	10
total	41	45

Result

Final score

41 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 52.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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