Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.92 – 20.07

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

38 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.4 ±19.8

9043Valkyrie

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 24.29Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9264HUNTERS ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 26.1Event APEX 22.69Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10425WhiteFox

Provisional

Season APEX 53Event APEX 28.94Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.5 ±22.5

11389ŞAL RoboRage

Provisional

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 10.71Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8092Greatest of All Times

Provisional

Season APEX 20.3Event APEX 1.85Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10692GOLDEN APPLE

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 7.51Rank 38Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9043, 9264, 10425

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9043, 9264, 10425

Auto

10.3 15%

Teleop

35.4 50%

Endgame

25.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11389, 8092, 10692

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11389, 8092, 10692

Auto

5.0 25%

Teleop

10.7 53%

Endgame

4.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score75.9pts

Blue projected score20.1pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.9
Score range: -2–98
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 48 vs event baseline 121.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.4Season APEX127.5

10.3Auto5

35.4Teleop10.7

25.1Endgame4.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	3
teleop	19	7
endgame	2	0
foul	5	0
total	38	10

Result

Final score

38 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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