Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

691.35 – 296.58

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

633 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 156.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 860 ±11.7

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 392.61Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX 4.18Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 294.56Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 504.6 ±13.1

11382INTERHERMES

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 5.43Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 200.72Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 90.43Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 8158, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

691.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 8158, 6459

Auto

103.7 15%

Teleop

415.0 61%

Endgame

156.4 23%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11382, 10131, 9692

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.6 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11382, 10131, 9692

Auto

42.9 15%

Teleop

163.8 57%

Endgame

82.7 29%

Strengths

· 10131 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score691.4pts

Blue projected score296.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 394.8
Score range: 270–718
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 675 vs event baseline 150.1.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

860Season APEX504.6

103.7Auto42.9

415Teleop163.8

156.4Endgame82.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	13
teleop	415	23
endgame	116	6
foul	10	0
total	633	42

Result

Final score

633 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 156.5 pts

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