Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

351.48 – 164.03

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 697.9 ±10.5

10907ROBOLYNX

Season APEX 191.7Event APEX 2.56Rank 23Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 203.22Rank 1Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 145.7Rank 2Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.3 ±12.9

8151Wildfire

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 20.48Rank 17Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 90.04Rank 5Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9519RoboMasters

Season APEX 56Event APEX 53.51Rank 12Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 85

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10907, 4481, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.5 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10907, 4481, 8725

Auto

60.9 17%

Teleop

200.4 57%

Endgame

89.4 25%

Strengths

· 4481 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8151, 9427, 9519

/ 100 compat

Projected

164 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8151, 9427, 9519

Auto

34.2 21%

Teleop

79.8 49%

Endgame

47.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score351.5pts

Blue projected score164pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 187.5
Score range: 136–379
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 591 vs event baseline 156.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

697.9Season APEX272.3

60.9Auto34.2

200.4Teleop79.8

89.4Endgame47.9

2Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	43
teleop	184	117
endgame	111	78
foul	0	5
total	348	243

Result

Final score

348 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts

Match videos

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