Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.02 – 82.56

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 60.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425 ±11

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 10.12Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 86.21Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 140.69Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±12.1

9079Mechanic storm

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 24.73Rank 18Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 10.53Rank 9Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 47.3Rank 14Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6232, 6989, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

237 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 6989, 7632

Auto

47.6 21%

Teleop

132.3 58%

Endgame

47.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9079, 11300, 8169

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9079, 11300, 8169

Auto

13.1 17%

Teleop

47.0 62%

Endgame

15.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score237pts

Blue projected score82.6pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.5
Score range: 55–265
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 157.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425Season APEX148.8

47.6Auto13.1

132.3Teleop47

47.2Endgame15.2

18Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	28
teleop	165	68
endgame	49	39
foul	40	10
total	295	145

Result

Final score

295 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 60.2 pts

Match videos

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