Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

296 – 78.17

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

339 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.8 ±11

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 171.5Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8084ALFA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 18.57Rank 25Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 105.93Rank 3Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 131.3 ±14.6

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 27.05Rank 19Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6014ARC

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 41.97Rank 10Record 7-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 9.15Rank 26Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2905, 8084, 6417

/ 100 compat

Projected

296 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2905, 8084, 6417

Auto

44.3 15%

Teleop

180.8 63%

Endgame

61.6 21%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11010, 6014, 8584

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.2 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 11010, 6014, 8584

Auto

17.3 23%

Teleop

28.7 39%

Endgame

27.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score296pts

Blue projected score78.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.8
Score range: 50–324
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 156.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.8Season APEX131.3

44.3Auto17.3

180.8Teleop28.7

61.6Endgame27.9

6Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	9
teleop	180	34
endgame	114	18
foul	0	0
total	339	61

Result

Final score

339 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.