Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.38 – 225.92

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

275 – 299

Prediction missed · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.8 ±11

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 157.45Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8084ALFA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 3.61Rank 25Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 92.32Rank 3Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425 ±11

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 8.07Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 79.7Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 138.15Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2905, 8084, 6417

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2905, 8084, 6417

Auto

37.3 14%

Teleop

173.1 63%

Endgame

63.7 23%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6232, 6989, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 6989, 7632

Auto

46.5 22%

Teleop

124.5 58%

Endgame

44.4 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score253.4pts

Blue projected score225.9pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.5
Score range: 197–282
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 574 vs event baseline 161.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.8Season APEX425

37.3Auto46.5

173.1Teleop124.5

63.7Endgame44.4

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	68
teleop	148	150
endgame	95	81
foul	5	0
total	275	299

Result

Final score

275 – 299

Prediction missed · off by 47.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.