Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.06 – 150.13

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

106 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 99.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425 ±11

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 7.48Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 80.09Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 136.49Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.6 ±11.6

8079River Robotics Team

Season APEX 164.6Event APEX 67.08Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 44.87Rank 8Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6838X-SHARC

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 38.18Rank 20Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6232, 6989, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 6989, 7632

Auto

43.1 20%

Teleop

126.2 60%

Endgame

42.2 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8079, 10396, 6838

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8079, 10396, 6838

Auto

31.3 23%

Teleop

76.3 57%

Endgame

25.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score224.1pts

Blue projected score150.1pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.9
Score range: 121–253
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 159.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425Season APEX342.6

43.1Auto31.3

126.2Teleop76.3

42.2Endgame25.6

14Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	30
teleop	46	25
endgame	10	14
foul	0	0
total	106	69

Result

Final score

106 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 99.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.