Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.41 – 178.29

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.1 ±12.7

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 10.44Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7742Cosmos Robot Works

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 13.52Rank 13Record 7-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 27.45Rank 19Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.8 ±12.4

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 89.39Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 31.03Rank 15Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9519RoboMasters

Season APEX 56Event APEX 57.87Rank 12Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 85

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6232, 7742, 11010

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 7742, 11010

Auto

15.1 37%

Teleop

25.5 63%

Endgame

-0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6989, 6988, 9519

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6989, 6988, 9519

Auto

29.1 18%

Teleop

91.8 57%

Endgame

41.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.4pts

Blue projected score178.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.9
Score range: 23–206
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 157.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.1Season APEX415.8

15.1Auto29.1

25.5Teleop91.8

-0.1Endgame41.2

11Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	30
teleop	20	49
endgame	7	33
foul	0	15
total	34	127

Result

Final score

34 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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