Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

171.29 – 227.52

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.1 ±13.5

9601BageTech

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 14.39Rank 29Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 94.97Rank 5Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9519RoboMasters

Season APEX 56Event APEX 61.93Rank 12Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 85

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.4 ±11.1

8084ALFA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 15.27Rank 25Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 203.96Rank 1Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 8.29Rank 9Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9601, 9427, 9519

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9601, 9427, 9519

Auto

46.0 28%

Teleop

81.4 50%

Endgame

36.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8084, 4481, 11300

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.5 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8084, 4481, 11300

Auto

36.6 17%

Teleop

135.3 61%

Endgame

49.4 22%

Strengths

· 4481 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score171.3pts

Blue projected score227.5pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.2
Score range: 143–256
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 157.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.1Season APEX402.4

46Auto36.6

81.4Teleop135.3

36.4Endgame49.4

22Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	35
teleop	66	154
endgame	36	58
foul	0	0
total	115	247

Result

Final score

115 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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