Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.85 – 108.29

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±12.2

7742Cosmos Robot Works

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 13.92Rank 13Record 7-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9079Mechanic storm

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 26.72Rank 18Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 144.21Rank 2Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.3 ±14.8

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 29.93Rank 19Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8079River Robotics Team

Season APEX 164.6Event APEX 67.59Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5553Robo'Lyon

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 10.77Rank 28Record 3-10-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7742, 9079, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7742, 9079, 8725

Auto

25.6 15%

Teleop

106.7 61%

Endgame

41.9 24%

Strengths

· 8725 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11010, 8079, 5553

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11010, 8079, 5553

Auto

31.9 31%

Teleop

49.2 48%

Endgame

21.4 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score184.9pts

Blue projected score108.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.6
Score range: 80–213
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 250 vs event baseline 158.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.7Season APEX275.3

25.6Auto31.9

106.7Teleop49.2

41.9Endgame21.4

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	29
teleop	93	34
endgame	33	6
foul	0	10
total	171	79

Result

Final score

171 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.