Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.5 – 191.26

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.6 ±13.9

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 83.37Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9102CyborgBulls

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 9.81Rank 21Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 131.32Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519.1 ±11.6

6838X-SHARC

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 33.42Rank 20Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 160.73Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10907ROBOLYNX

Season APEX 191.7Event APEX -2.89Rank 23Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6989, 9102, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6989, 9102, 7632

Auto

47.1 22%

Teleop

120.8 57%

Endgame

43.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6838, 2905, 10907

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6838, 2905, 10907

Auto

41.1 24%

Teleop

100.5 58%

Endgame

32.2 19%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score224.5pts

Blue projected score191.3pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.2
Score range: 163–253
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 554 vs event baseline 156.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.6Season APEX519.1

47.1Auto41.1

120.8Teleop100.5

43.7Endgame32.2

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	20
teleop	156	137
endgame	82	107
foul	0	5
total	285	269

Result

Final score

285 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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