Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.36 – 108.33

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.5 ±14.1

6014ARC

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 40.71Rank 10Record 7-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 29.68Rank 15Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 2.97Rank 26Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±12.9

9519RoboMasters

Season APEX 56Event APEX 59.34Rank 12Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 85

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 42.82Rank 8Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 6.17Rank 9Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6014, 6988, 8584

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.4 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6014, 6988, 8584

Auto

13.1 23%

Teleop

23.0 41%

Endgame

20.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9519, 10396, 11300

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9519, 10396, 11300

Auto

15.4 15%

Teleop

65.2 64%

Endgame

20.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score73.4pts

Blue projected score108.3pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35
Score range: 45–136
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 156.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.5Season APEX227.4

13.1Auto15.4

23Teleop65.2

20.3Endgame20.8

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	35
teleop	59	68
endgame	37	44
foul	5	0
total	109	147

Result

Final score

109 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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