Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.72 – 262.93

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

21 – 317

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 77.2 ±14.6

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 16.47Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9601BageTech

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 16.63Rank 29Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 5.62Rank 26Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.9 ±13.9

5553Robo'Lyon

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 4.5Rank 28Record 3-10-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 156.02Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 102.41Rank 5Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6232, 9601, 8584

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 9601, 8584

Auto

20.9 86%

Teleop

9.3 38%

Endgame

-5.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5553, 2905, 9427

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5553, 2905, 9427

Auto

51.4 20%

Teleop

156.3 59%

Endgame

55.7 21%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score38.7pts

Blue projected score262.9pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -224.2
Score range: 11–291
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 156.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

77.2Season APEX487.9

20.9Auto51.4

9.3Teleop156.3

-5.9Endgame55.7

7Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	83
teleop	13	168
endgame	3	61
foul	0	5
total	21	317

Result

Final score

21 – 317

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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