Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.57 – 202.23

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.4 ±15.8

9102CyborgBulls

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 18.91Rank 21Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9519RoboMasters

Season APEX 56Event APEX 57.04Rank 12Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 85

8084ALFA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 10.62Rank 25Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.3 ±12.2

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 145.55Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9079Mechanic storm

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 30.51Rank 18Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10064HanniBal

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 26.17Rank 24Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9102, 9519, 8084

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9102, 9519, 8084

Auto

24.0 26%

Teleop

37.4 40%

Endgame

31.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2905, 9079, 10064

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.2 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2905, 9079, 10064

Auto

35.1 19%

Teleop

115.3 62%

Endgame

35.8 19%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score86.6pts

Blue projected score202.2pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -115.7
Score range: 59–230
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 155.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.4Season APEX364.3

24Auto35.1

37.4Teleop115.3

31.1Endgame35.8

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	12
teleop	25	162
endgame	5	48
foul	10	5
total	41	227

Result

Final score

41 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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