Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
107.11 – 253
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
65 – 251
Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.4 ±13.6
Season APEX 191.7Event APEX -16.05Rank 23Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 127.44Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 9.2Event APEX -4.28Rank 26Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 69Event APEX 10.51Rank 19Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 47.86Rank 16Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 194.63Rank 1Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10907, 7632, 8584
54
/ 100 compatProjected
107.1 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 10907, 7632, 8584
Auto
19.6 18%
Teleop
59.8 56%
Endgame
27.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11010, 7576, 4481
82
/ 100 compatProjected
253 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 11010, 7576, 4481
Auto
33.8 15%
Teleop
132.7 59%
Endgame
59.7 26%
Strengths
- · 4481 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score107.1pts
Blue projected score253pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -145.9
- Score range
- 78–282
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
390.4Season APEX421.7
19.6Auto33.8
59.8Teleop132.7
27.6Endgame59.7
104Consistency40
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 40 |
| teleop | 23 | 138 |
| endgame | 2 | 68 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 65 | 251 |
Result
Final score
65 – 251
Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.