Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

9.1 – 39.09

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.4 ±14.8

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 1.46Rank 19Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX -8.78Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9102CyborgBulls

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 16.42Rank 21Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.6 ±12.2

9601BageTech

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 6.67Rank 29Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 31.12Rank 8Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10907ROBOLYNX

Season APEX 191.7Event APEX 1.3Rank 23Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11010, 6232, 9102

/ 100 compat

Projected

9.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 11010, 6232, 9102

Auto

19.0 0%

Teleop

-7.2 100%

Endgame

-16.8 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9601, 10396, 10907

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9601, 10396, 10907

Auto

8.9 16%

Teleop

38.3 71%

Endgame

7.1 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score9.1pts

Blue projected score39.1pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30
Score range: -19–67
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 156.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.4Season APEX369.6

19Auto8.9

-7.2Teleop38.3

-16.8Endgame7.1

76Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	15
teleop	13	33
endgame	10	5
foul	0	0
total	30	53

Result

Final score

30 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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