Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.39 – 159.26

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 103 ±14.1

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX -18.34Rank 26Record 4-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 10.27Rank 9Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6838X-SHARC

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 64.46Rank 20Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.8 ±12.8

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 135.75Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7742Cosmos Robot Works

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 26.75Rank 13Record 7-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9601BageTech

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX -3.24Rank 29Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8584, 11300, 6838

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8584, 11300, 6838

Auto

3.3 11%

Teleop

8.3 28%

Endgame

17.8 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7632, 7742, 9601

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7632, 7742, 9601

Auto

19.9 15%

Teleop

84.9 63%

Endgame

29.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score56.4pts

Blue projected score159.3pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.9
Score range: 29–186
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 151.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

103Season APEX298.8

3.3Auto19.9

8.3Teleop84.9

17.8Endgame29.9

103Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	46
teleop	11	95
endgame	5	37
foul	0	10
total	26	188

Result

Final score

26 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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