Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
372.61 – 237.89
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
473 – 242
Prediction correct · off by 52.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 697.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 191.7Event APEX 7.73Rank 23Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 211.24Rank 1Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 153.64Rank 2Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425 ±11
Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 11.88Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 83.8Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 142.21Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10907, 4481, 8725
81
/ 100 compatProjected
372.6 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 10907, 4481, 8725
Auto
63.9 17%
Teleop
213.2 58%
Endgame
90.5 25%
Strengths
- · 4481 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6232, 6989, 7632
79
/ 100 compatProjected
237.9 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 6232, 6989, 7632
Auto
45.9 20%
Teleop
128.3 56%
Endgame
54.2 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score372.6pts
Blue projected score237.9pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 134.7
- Score range
- 208–403
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
697.9Season APEX425
63.9Auto45.9
213.2Teleop128.3
90.5Endgame54.2
1Consistency6
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 83 | 47 |
| teleop | 266 | 137 |
| endgame | 104 | 53 |
| foul | 20 | 5 |
| total | 473 | 242 |
Result
Final score
473 – 242
Prediction correct · off by 52.3 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.