Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

364.86 – 233.46

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

433 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 697.9 ±10.5

10907ROBOLYNX

Season APEX 191.7Event APEX 5Rank 23Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 208.58Rank 1Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 151.28Rank 2Record 11-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425 ±11

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 10.52Rank 22Record 5-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 82.19Rank 7Record 8-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 140.75Rank 4Record 9-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10907, 4481, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

364.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10907, 4481, 8725

Auto

62.0 17%

Teleop

207.1 58%

Endgame

90.0 25%

Strengths

· 4481 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6232, 6989, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6232, 6989, 7632

Auto

48.7 22%

Teleop

127.1 57%

Endgame

48.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score364.9pts

Blue projected score233.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131.4
Score range: 204–394
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 717 vs event baseline 163.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

697.9Season APEX425

62Auto48.7

207.1Teleop127.1

90Endgame48.1

2Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	19
teleop	259	142
endgame	97	113
foul	0	10
total	433	284

Result

Final score

433 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Match videos

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