Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.19 – 174.73

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.4 ±18.1

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 8.9Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9028GFORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 48.27Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7742Cosmos Robot Works

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 42.02Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.8 ±14.8

5665FENERBAHÇE DOGUS SPARC

Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 53.55Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10959ORHANIYE R SPORTS

Provisional

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 25.88Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 95.3Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6038, 9028, 7742

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6038, 9028, 7742

Auto

19.2 22%

Teleop

42.0 49%

Endgame

24.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5665, 10959, 8806

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5665, 10959, 8806

Auto

30.2 18%

Teleop

100.1 61%

Endgame

33.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99.2pts

Blue projected score174.7pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.5
Score range: 71–203
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 155.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.4Season APEX349.8

19.2Auto30.2

42Teleop100.1

24.5Endgame33.8

8Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	48
teleop	53	143
endgame	38	56
foul	0	0
total	125	247

Result

Final score

125 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 49 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.