Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

384.73 – 289.63

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

377 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.7 ±12.2

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 179.45Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10598TADroid

Season APEX 58Event APEX 8.72Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 196.56Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 594.3 ±12.4

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 98.49Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10383Robistim

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 20.44Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 170.7Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11216, 10598, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11216, 10598, 6459

Auto

47.8 13%

Teleop

241.5 63%

Endgame

92.3 24%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6941, 10383, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6941, 10383, 8159

Auto

51.8 18%

Teleop

152.8 53%

Endgame

82.3 29%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score384.7pts

Blue projected score289.6pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.1
Score range: 260–415
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 595 vs event baseline 168.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

589.7Season APEX594.3

47.8Auto51.8

241.5Teleop152.8

92.3Endgame82.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	51
teleop	208	77
endgame	75	70
foul	5	20
total	377	218

Result

Final score

377 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.