Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.96 – 79.96

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

117 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.7 ±16

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX -Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX -Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9028GFORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX -Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.1 ±18.4

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX -Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10576ASHINA

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8153, 9231, 9028

/ 100 compat

Projected

80 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8153, 9231, 9028

Auto

24.0 30%

Teleop

40.0 50%

Endgame

16.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6948, 10185, 10576

/ 100 compat

Projected

80 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6948, 10185, 10576

Auto

24.0 30%

Teleop

40.0 50%

Endgame

16.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score80pts

Blue projected score80pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 51–109
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 169 vs event baseline 159.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.7Season APEX204.1

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	8
teleop	38	28
endgame	23	16
foul	30	0
total	117	52

Result

Final score

117 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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