Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.77 – 88.73

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

272 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.8 ±11.7

7742Cosmos Robot Works

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 34.09Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 186.73Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5665FENERBAHÇE DOGUS SPARC

Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 57.95Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.6 ±18.4

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 46.81Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8209SEZMECH

Provisional

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 19.88Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 22.04Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7742, 11216, 5665

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7742, 11216, 5665

Auto

44.5 16%

Teleop

187.8 67%

Endgame

47.0 17%

Strengths

· 11216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8153, 8209, 8795

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.7 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8153, 8209, 8795

Auto

18.1 21%

Teleop

43.9 52%

Endgame

22.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score278.8pts

Blue projected score88.7pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190
Score range: 62–306
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 149.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.8Season APEX186.6

44.5Auto18.1

187.8Teleop43.9

47Endgame22.8

0Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	26
teleop	140	28
endgame	74	16
foul	15	0
total	272	70

Result

Final score

272 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.