Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

225.26 – 78.01

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

281 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.8 ±15.6

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 36Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 158.17Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11120Frostbite Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 31.09Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.7 ±13.5

10598TADroid

Season APEX 58Event APEX 16.55Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 57.11Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10383Robistim

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 4.35Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9231, 8159, 11120

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9231, 8159, 11120

Auto

59.6 28%

Teleop

107.6 51%

Endgame

44.6 21%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10598, 9692, 10383

/ 100 compat

Projected

78 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10598, 9692, 10383

Auto

13.0 18%

Teleop

34.0 47%

Endgame

25.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score225.3pts

Blue projected score78pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.3
Score range: 51–252
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 149.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435.8Season APEX280.7

59.6Auto13

107.6Teleop34

44.6Endgame25.4

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	12
teleop	148	76
endgame	67	55
foul	10	0
total	281	143

Result

Final score

281 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.