Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.76 – 85.59

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

263 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±18.1

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 2.48Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX -19.02Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 192.3Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.7 ±22

10999Cezeri Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 40Event APEX 19.52Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9451Aydos

Provisional

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 33.48Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5655KelRot

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 32.59Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10185, 6038, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10185, 6038, 6459

Auto

30.8 19%

Teleop

92.3 56%

Endgame

40.4 25%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10999, 9451, 5655

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10999, 9451, 5655

Auto

20.6 24%

Teleop

40.4 48%

Endgame

23.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score175.8pts

Blue projected score85.6pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.2
Score range: 59–203
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 149.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411Season APEX148.7

30.8Auto20.6

92.3Teleop40.4

40.4Endgame23.1

55Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	22
teleop	174	28
endgame	83	24
foul	0	25
total	263	99

Result

Final score

263 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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