Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.99 – 60.46

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.5 ±15.1

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 79Rank 6Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9028GFORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 33.46Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 187.53Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.7 ±17.7

10132Kuanta Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60Event APEX 41.66Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9468Team Sirius

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 25.68Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10234TEDRA

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX -6.88Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9025, 9028, 11216

/ 100 compat

Projected

300 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9025, 9028, 11216

Auto

54.7 18%

Teleop

173.5 58%

Endgame

72.0 24%

Strengths

· 11216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10132, 9468, 10234

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.5 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10132, 9468, 10234

Auto

22.8 37%

Teleop

31.0 51%

Endgame

7.3 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score300pts

Blue projected score60.5pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 239.5
Score range: 33–327
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 367 vs event baseline 150.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

389.5Season APEX155.7

54.7Auto22.8

173.5Teleop31

72Endgame7.3

42Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	18
teleop	204	20
endgame	69	16
foul	0	0
total	313	54

Result

Final score

313 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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