Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.15 – 85

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 32.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.2 ±18.1

9451Aydos

Provisional

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 51.45Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10576ASHINA

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 21.5Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 41.2Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.4 ±21.4

7466Cymurghs

Provisional

Season APEX 118.8Event APEX 79.65Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10959ORHANIYE R SPORTS

Provisional

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 12.26Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10953LYRON

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX -6.91Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9451, 10576, 9231

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9451, 10576, 9231

Auto

17.1 16%

Teleop

45.3 43%

Endgame

42.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7466, 10959, 10953

/ 100 compat

Projected

85 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7466, 10959, 10953

Auto

21.4 27%

Teleop

29.5 37%

Endgame

28.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score114.2pts

Blue projected score85pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.2
Score range: 58–141
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 149.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.2Season APEX254.4

17.1Auto21.4

45.3Teleop29.5

42.3Endgame28.9

7Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	26
teleop	15	34
endgame	20	1
foul	5	30
total	55	91

Result

Final score

55 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 32.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.