Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.36 – 203.18

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

347 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 553 ±12.4

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 48.16Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 185.45Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9468Team Sirius

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 9.75Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±12.1

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 94.11Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 40.12Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 68.95Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9692, 6459, 9468

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9692, 6459, 9468

Auto

35.4 16%

Teleop

145.4 65%

Endgame

42.1 19%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8806, 8153, 6948

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8806, 8153, 6948

Auto

29.6 15%

Teleop

140.3 70%

Endgame

29.9 15%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score243.4pts

Blue projected score203.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.2
Score range: 176–270
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 148.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

553Season APEX297.5

35.4Auto29.6

145.4Teleop140.3

42.1Endgame29.9

125Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	43
teleop	206	115
endgame	78	52
foul	0	5
total	347	215

Result

Final score

347 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.