Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.58 – 51.2

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 84.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.1 ±12.9

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 149.18Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 70.39Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9043Valkyrie

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 10.01Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124 ±20

10502HARPIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 13.87Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7086IOROBOT

Provisional

Season APEX 18.3Event APEX 8.78Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10999Cezeri Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 40Event APEX 28.55Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11216, 6941, 9043

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.6 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11216, 6941, 9043

Auto

53.6 24%

Teleop

134.0 60%

Endgame

37.0 16%

Strengths

· 11216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10502, 7086, 10999

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.2 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10502, 7086, 10999

Auto

14.2 30%

Teleop

20.9 44%

Endgame

12.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score229.6pts

Blue projected score51.2pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 178.4
Score range: 25–256
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 449 vs event baseline 146.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.1Season APEX124

53.6Auto14.2

134Teleop20.9

37Endgame12.9

0Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	11
teleop	199	23
endgame	104	24
foul	0	15
total	376	73

Result

Final score

376 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 84.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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