Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.77 – 22.97

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 102.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.1 ±19.3

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 40.98Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11240Rotatech

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 3.14Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10132Kuanta Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60Event APEX 21.65Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.1 ±15.8

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 32.54Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10598TADroid

Season APEX 58Event APEX -2.09Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX -7.48Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6941, 11240, 10132

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6941, 11240, 10132

Auto

28.9 43%

Teleop

35.0 52%

Endgame

3.8 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9231, 10598, 6038

/ 100 compat

Projected

23 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9231, 10598, 6038

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

-2.3 0%

Endgame

11.5 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65.8pts

Blue projected score23pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.8
Score range: -3–92
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 147.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

386.1Season APEX172.1

28.9Auto0

35Teleop-2.3

3.8Endgame11.5

26Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	14
teleop	125	8
endgame	83	6
foul	0	0
total	265	28

Result

Final score

265 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 102.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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