Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.56 – 80.75

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

135 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.7 ±16

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 104.32Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9451Aydos

Provisional

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 45.81Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8056Laissez Faire

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 9.43Rank 40Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.8 ±13.3

10234TEDRA

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 8.7Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10502HARPIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 21.97Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 50.08Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8806, 9451, 8056

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8806, 9451, 8056

Auto

34.5 22%

Teleop

89.9 57%

Endgame

32.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10234, 10502, 8153

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10234, 10502, 8153

Auto

26.3 44%

Teleop

36.1 60%

Endgame

-2.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score159.6pts

Blue projected score80.8pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.8
Score range: 55–186
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 142.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.7Season APEX177.8

34.5Auto26.3

89.9Teleop36.1

32.6Endgame-2.6

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	19
teleop	84	13
endgame	31	4
foul	5	0
total	135	36

Result

Final score

135 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.