Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

10.12 – 234.13

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.6 ±20.5

8747BLACK SEA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 21.6Event APEX 0.58Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX -13.07Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9468Team Sirius

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 22.61Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±18.7

10947Antioch Rising

Provisional

Season APEX 40.8Event APEX 25.59Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10953LYRON

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 3.36Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 205.18Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8747, 10185, 9468

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.1 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8747, 10185, 9468

Auto

15.3 68%

Teleop

2.8 12%

Endgame

4.3 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10947, 10953, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10947, 10953, 8159

Auto

25.6 11%

Teleop

152.6 67%

Endgame

49.2 22%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score10.1pts

Blue projected score234.1pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -224
Score range: -15–259
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 141.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.6Season APEX374.5

15.3Auto25.6

2.8Teleop152.6

4.3Endgame49.2

170Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	51
teleop	4	83
endgame	8	62
foul	20	0
total	48	196

Result

Final score

48 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.