Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.45 – 107.53

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 122.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±21.4

11240Rotatech

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX -3.99Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7466Cymurghs

Provisional

Season APEX 118.8Event APEX 54.24Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9028GFORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 20.2Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.7 ±16.4

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 117.78Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 24.4Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10598TADroid

Season APEX 58Event APEX -34.65Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11240, 7466, 9028

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 11240, 7466, 9028

Auto

29.4 56%

Teleop

19.0 36%

Endgame

4.0 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6459, 9026, 10598

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6459, 9026, 10598

Auto

15.2 15%

Teleop

59.1 58%

Endgame

27.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.5pts

Blue projected score107.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.1
Score range: 45–133
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 140.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.4Season APEX438.7

29.4Auto15.2

19Teleop59.1

4Endgame27

144Consistency187

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	16
teleop	92	146
endgame	44	86
foul	0	0
total	175	248

Result

Final score

175 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 122.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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