Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

269.01 – 91.54

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

325 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.4 ±11.6

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 51.65Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 139.79Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 77.57Rank 6Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.8 ±20

10999Cezeri Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 40Event APEX 55.11Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 43.31Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10205MAGNETAR

Provisional

Season APEX 36Event APEX -6.88Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8153, 8595, 9025

/ 100 compat

Projected

269 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8153, 8595, 9025

Auto

41.1 15%

Teleop

163.5 61%

Endgame

62.9 24%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10999, 9231, 10205

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.5 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10999, 9231, 10205

Auto

7.9 9%

Teleop

31.7 37%

Endgame

46.7 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score269pts

Blue projected score91.5pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.5
Score range: 67–294
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 138.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.4Season APEX162.8

41.1Auto7.9

163.5Teleop31.7

62.9Endgame46.7

63Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	8
teleop	193	14
endgame	76	13
foul	0	5
total	325	40

Result

Final score

325 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.