Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.3 – 248.46

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 98.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.1 ±19.7

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 42.01Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 79.65Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11240Rotatech

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 2.64Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 601.6 ±15.9

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 108.31Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10132Kuanta Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60Event APEX 15.53Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 124.62Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9026, 8153, 11240

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.3 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9026, 8153, 11240

Auto

20.0 18%

Teleop

68.8 61%

Endgame

24.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8595, 10132, 10131

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8595, 10132, 10131

Auto

23.0 9%

Teleop

167.7 67%

Endgame

61.1 24%

Strengths

· 10131 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score124.3pts

Blue projected score248.5pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -124.2
Score range: 99–273
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 435 vs event baseline 136.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.1Season APEX601.6

20Auto23

68.8Teleop167.7

24.8Endgame61.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	56
teleop	31	239
endgame	5	83
foul	0	0
total	57	378

Result

Final score

57 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 98.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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