Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.14 – 95.11

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 160

Prediction missed · off by 49 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 189.9 ±19.7

10947Antioch Rising

Provisional

Season APEX 35.8Event APEX 33.14Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9692Sigma

Season APEX 137Event APEX 46.52Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8209SEZMECH

Provisional

Season APEX 17.1Event APEX 87.48Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 170.6 ±17.7

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 27.5Event APEX 33.14Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 120Event APEX 37.18Rank 6Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9043Valkyrie

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 24.79Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72
Score range: 72–190
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 125.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.9Season APEX170.6

17.1Auto10.1

93.5Teleop52.7

50.5Endgame29.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	33
teleop	83	72
endgame	40	50
foul	5	5
total	134	160

Result

Final score

134 – 160

Prediction missed · score err 49

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)