Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

166.2 – 280.13

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.4 ±18.7

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 94.37Rank 6Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10132Kuanta Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60Event APEX 37.5Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10959ORHANIYE R SPORTS

Provisional

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 34.33Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611.4 ±11.7

10502HARPIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 16.17Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 95.81Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 168.15Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9025, 10132, 10959

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9025, 10132, 10959

Auto

28.4 17%

Teleop

91.6 56%

Endgame

42.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10502, 6941, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.1 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10502, 6941, 8159

Auto

61.2 22%

Teleop

143.5 53%

Endgame

67.6 25%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score166.2pts

Blue projected score280.1pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.9
Score range: 134–312
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 466 vs event baseline 175.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.4Season APEX611.4

28.4Auto61.2

91.6Teleop143.5

42.5Endgame67.6

16Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	71
teleop	70	187
endgame	42	61
foul	0	20
total	127	339

Result

Final score

127 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 49 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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