Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.83 – 147.82

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.9 ±12.2

6838X-SHARC

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 31.42Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 25.56Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 1.85Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.8 ±12.1

9079Mechanic storm

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 26.59Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10428KAIZEN

Season APEX 65Event APEX 56.9Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5883Spice Gears

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 64.33Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6838, 7672, 6988

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6838, 7672, 6988

Auto

20.1 34%

Teleop

26.8 45%

Endgame

12.3 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9079, 10428, 5883

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9079, 10428, 5883

Auto

16.2 12%

Teleop

77.1 58%

Endgame

38.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score58.8pts

Blue projected score147.8pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89
Score range: 36–171
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 126.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251.9Season APEX185.8

20.1Auto16.2

26.8Teleop77.1

12.3Endgame38.6

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	22
teleop	12	58
endgame	1	24
foul	5	15
total	37	119

Result

Final score

37 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.