Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

205.93 – 166.79

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.3 ±13.6

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 87.45Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10920F²

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 8.44Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 110.04Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.8 ±12.1

9079Mechanic storm

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 33.11Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10428KAIZEN

Season APEX 65Event APEX 63.2Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5883Spice Gears

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 70.48Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6948, 10920, 6431

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6948, 10920, 6431

Auto

30.1 15%

Teleop

114.9 59%

Endgame

50.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9079, 10428, 5883

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9079, 10428, 5883

Auto

15.9 11%

Teleop

84.9 57%

Endgame

46.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score205.9pts

Blue projected score166.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.1
Score range: 144–229
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 125.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.3Season APEX185.8

30.1Auto15.9

114.9Teleop84.9

50Endgame46.9

25Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	18
teleop	139	49
endgame	65	8
foul	45	5
total	285	80

Result

Final score

285 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.