Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.27 – 82.06

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 39

Prediction missed · off by 103.9 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.4 ±13.9

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 25.41Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 15.43Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 29.43Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130 ±14.5

11266Finaltech

Season APEX 36Event APEX 15.43Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 37.2Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 29.43Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6431, 11365, 6417

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6431, 11365, 6417

Auto

19.0 29%

Teleop

37.8 58%

Endgame

8.7 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11266, 9583, 7672

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11266, 9583, 7672

Auto

25.8 28%

Teleop

56.6 62%

Endgame

8.6 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score82.1pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.8
Score range: 51–101
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 106.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350.4Season APEX130

19Auto25.8

37.8Teleop56.6

8.7Endgame8.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	21
teleop	150	9
endgame	55	4
foul	0	5
total	235	39

Result

Final score

235 – 39

Prediction missed · off by 103.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.